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Showing posts with the label Financial Markets

Government Finance 101. Fiscal Policy: Welcome to Alice in Wonderland

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Secretary of the Treasury PRELIMINARY SUMMARY OF FISCAL YEAR 2025 BUDGET   The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) made their latest projection in January, 2025. The projected deficit in fiscal year 2025 will be around $1.8 trillion, the difference between about $5.2 trillion in revenue and $7.0 trillion in expenses. Interest on the national debt this year will be around $950 billion, over twice the interest expense in the fiscal year 2021 budget. By 2035, the CBO expects the  yearly  budget deficit to increase to $2.7 trillion.   Interest expense this year passed budgeted outlays for the military. It is about equal to Medicare, and also to total non-defense discretionary spending.   Leaving aside Social Security and Medicare, interest expense is about 20% of total budget outlays. Interest expense is about half the budget deficit.   The $1.8 trillion budget deficit is 6-7% of total GDP, or approximately 10% of consumer spending. Adding the $1 trillion trad...

The Stock Market Crash of 1929 and the Beginning of the Great Depression

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Famous Headline Before You Begin If you don't know the background of this complicated story, you might want to first see a shorter version that introduces some of the key factors explaining the Crash and the Depression. Introduction to the Stock Market Crash of 1929 and the Beginning of the Great Depression Before reading this essay, I strongly recommend you see the PBS video on YouTube. Type in Stock Market Crash 1929. Look for US – The Crash of 1929 (PBS), ALLHISTORIES – PLAYLIST.  Documentary broken into 6 parts to show commercials. Great documentary with wonderful photos, videos, and scenes from movies of the 1920s and the crash. Shows what a crazy time this was.  Introduction The usual reasons given for the Great Depression – the stock market crash of 1929 and the later collapse of the banking system – do not tell the whole story. Available economic data indicate (there were no national income accounts in 1929) that a recession had already begun before ...