EconAir

  Adam Smith - Our Founding Father    It’s not the strongest of the species that survive, nor the most intelligent, but the one most responsive to change. Charles Darwin Introduction and Summary This blog describes and analyzes economic development and economic growth since the start of the Industrial Revolution in the late 1700s.  Some writers describe the current economic trends as the Fourth Industrial Revolution. Other observers and commentators believe that information and communication technology and applications have become so central to the economy that we are in the Information Revolution. And others believe that we are at the beginning of the Biotechnology Revolution. This book will concentrate on the ongoing, underlying dynamics of economic change and, for simplicity, will use Industrial Revolution as the historic label. But it will stress the vital role that innovation and information play in economic development and economic growth.  The information...

THE ECONOMICS OF FINANCIAL MARKETS MARKET-MAKERS, BIASED INFORMATION, AND FORECASTS This tutorial will look at financial markets and how they actually function.  There are two general theories about how financial markets work. The first is the Efficient Market Theory, which assumes all decision-makers are rational – they have access to information, can analyze it, and make investment decisions. Strangely, a major conclusion is that investors cannot predict stock price movements, which are random. The second is Behavioral Finance, which assumes that investors are irrational – they have a number of biases and are influenced by the markets’ past behavior. Both theories based on this supposed distinction that “explain” financial price behavior are irrelevant. What is left out of theoretical models of financial markets is how financial markets actually operate. Between buyers (investors) and sellers (including issuers of new securities), there are market makers like brokerage firms, man...