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Government Finance 101. Fiscal Policy: Welcome to Alice in Wonderland

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  PRELIMINARY SUMMARY OF FISCAL 2024 BUDGET The deficit in fiscal 2024 will be around $1.9 trillion, about $4.9 trillion in revenue and $6.8 trillion in expenses. Interest on the national debt this year is around $960 billion, over twice the interest on the fiscal 2021 budget. Interest expense this year passed outlays for the military. Leaving aside Social Security and Medicare, interest expense is about 20% of total budget outlays. Interest expense is about half the budget deficit.    SOME BASIC DEFINITIONS AND A LITTLE DETAIL Some basic definitions for people in government suffering from political amnesia:   Deficit.    The difference between the federal government’s spending and its revenue in one fiscal year.  The fiscal year starts on October 1.  So fiscal year 2024 started on October 1, 2023. You know right away this is going to be confusing. Debt .  Short for national debt or federal debt .  The sum total of all past yearly deficits minus yearly surpluses. Commentators o
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List of Posts By Topic

FIND POSTS BY CATEGORY CATEGORIES Basic Concepts and Theory Market Behavior and Structure Market Dynamics and Information:  How Markets Work The Industrial Revolution in England American Economic History American History Demographics and Economics Management World War I:  The Beginning of the 20th Century The Roman Republic and America - Differences and Some Possible Parallels Economic and Fiscal Policy Financial Markets and Investment Strategies Foreign Exchange Markets The United States American Foreign Policy and International  Relations Geopolitics and the Global Economy Geopolitics of Oil and Natural Gas Visionaries BASIC CONCEPTS AND THEORY Introduction and Summary     Economic Development and Economic Growth Production Functions and Supply Chains Demand  Analysis You, Your Brain and Credit Card s Critique of Basic Economic Theory MARKET BEHAVIOR AND STRUCTURE Competition:  Strategies and Structure Imperfect Competition: Large Companies and Oligopoly A Stylized Model of
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Demographics and Economic Growth

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The Future Labor Force   SUMMARY This post is a summary of some of the themes of previous posts on demographic and population projections, with an emphasis on how demographics will impact economic growth. See bibliography at the end of this post. For a list of all blog posts on a wide variety of topics, see  List of Posts by Topic on my blog.   Almost all countries outside of Africa are already facing or will soon face below replacement birth rates. Without immigration, this could lead first to smaller labor forces with greater numbers of retired citizens. Eventually, however, both the number of workers and retired citizens will decrease. During both stages of the transition, there will be issues of how to increase total output, maintain standards of living and allocate income between the two major age groups. See  Global Demographics and Population Projections .   Population and economies can growth even if birth rates are below replacement. But eventually both economic output and rea
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