Demographics, Immigration and Future Economic Growth of the United States
Americans UPDATE (October 2025) Projections are changing rapidly because of the dramatic change in net immigration and a slight but continuous fall in the birth rate. Long run projections, assuming historic levels of immigration, now seem high. In January, the CBO's projections showed "without immigration the population would shrink beginning in 2033" if birth rates stayed at current low levels. W ithout immigration, the CBO now expects the US population to start shrinking in 2031. If there is net negative immigration - more deportations and immigrants leaving the US - CBO projections indicate that the population may reach zero growth as early as around 2028. About half of immigrants, about 6 million, entered the country with some protection from deportation, especially under asylum status. This protection is being withdrawn. There are some estimates that the total immigration population of the US is falling, about 1.5 million over the last year. This may indicate net...