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America's 250th Birthday

Happy Birthday America! Democracy and individual liberties have survived for 250 years. Slavery was eliminated. The right to vote was extended to all Americans. America innovated the Industrial/Information Revolution and made the country the largest and most technologically-advanced economy in the world. In the 20 th   century, America helped defeat totalitarian regimes. America was an inspiration to all people who wanted to fight tyranny and oppression. From 1607 onwards, America was a special country built by immigrants and their descendants.   The foundation of this remarkable democratic edifice is the Constitution. The basic rules and political institutions were set out. Having denounced King George of England in the Declaration of Independence, the founders were particularly sensitive to the threat of an imperial presidency. The powers of the president in Madison’s first draft were watered down in subsequent revisions.    The founders, especially Madison, used t...

India: Economic Growth, Demographics and Domestic Issues

  ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT AND GROWTH Like China, India's projection of influence and power may partly depend on domestic economic development and growth. India may be increasingly seen by  countries and multinational companies  as an alternative to investing in or trading with China.   India's economic development was retarded after independence by a socialist government that favored state-owned companies and a few very large private companies in key sectors. Private manufacturing enterprise was not encouraged but heavily regulated, especially by labor and tax laws. Foreign investment was also discouraged. The problem in India is not only that firms are small, but that productive ones failed to grow. Rules from past governments rewarded firms for staying small. Tax systems offered preferential rates to tiny businesses; larger companies faced higher rates. A recent study estimates that if India removed such distortions—which Narendra Modi’s government is trying to do—it ...

Why England Lost the American Revolutionary War

  This was an existential war for the rebellious Americans. If they lost, leaders would be hung, Tories (loyalists) would retaliate, English rule would be harsh and revengeful. On the other hand, England could sail away and still remain a global power. The Americans did not have to win battles to win the war. They just had to continue to exist until the British decided that the war could not be won and had become too expensive. Opposition to the war in England rose rapidly after 1780. King George’s cabinet was forced to resign and Parliament passed a bill trying to limit George’s unilateral power to fight wars (sound familiar?). England had an average of over 30,000 troops but they had to fight in an area of about 100,000 square miles. England gave up Boston early. Later in the war, English troops could not hold Philadelphia after defeating the Americans and occupying the city. England also could not hold isolated garrisons throughout the colonies, which were exposed to attacks by ...

India and the Geopolitics of the Indian Ocean

    INTRODUCTION There are three continental powers - the United States, China, and Russia. India is potentially the fourth, dominating  the  Indian sub-continent and the Indian Ocean.   Geopolitics looks at geography and history as inputs into the relations among nations. A corollary is that countries have “natural” opponents and allies. But how this works out depends on the domestic and foreign policies of the leaders and governments of the countries. The history of long-distance Eurasian trade highlights the crucial role of India and the Indian Ocean. For over 2,500 years, the Indian Ocean was the vital route of trade between Europe and the Mediterranean, the Middle East, and China. India was the transshipment center of this trade. Today, 85% of global trade in goods goes by sea. Over 40% is oil. There are three major "choke-points" in seaborne trade - the Red Sea/Suez Canal, the Persian Gulf/Strait of Hormuz, and the Strait of Malacca. Ships from the first t...