Suggested Strategy for the War with Iran

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The objective is to eliminate Russia as a geopolitical threat in Europe and the Middle East.

 

An important objective of the war is to destroy Iranian drone production and storage sites. Iran is the main source of supply of the drones Russia is using in Ukraine.


After Iran’s military has been sufficiently degraded, the US and Israel stop bombing. The US declares that its military will be responsible for security in the Persian Gulf and escort tankers. If Iran attacks shipping, the US and Israel will resume bombing.

 

Consequences:

 


Like Venezuela, Iran or any ally of Russia cannot depend on any Russian help or support if attacked.

The US announces that, with our European allies, we will provide Ukraine with whatever weaponry and financial support it needs to defeat Russian forces. The goal is to remove Russia as a threat to Europe.


The war makes it clear to the Gulf States they cannot defend themselves from Iranian attacks and that their security depends on the US.

Countries that depend on Persian Gulf oil and natural gas will realize that the oil flow is threatened by Iran and the flow depends on the US.

 

A possible secondary effect might be that the war makes it clear that depending on imported oil and natural gas is risky. This might convince some countries to accelerate their renewable energy programs.

 

If Russia thinks about an alternative strategy of stepping up pressure on Central Asian countries, its former Soviet republics, it will be contending with China. Since its economy depends on selling fossil fuels to China, it may not do this. It will also strain relations with India.

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