Posts

Showing posts from August, 2026

Age and Class in America

Age and Class in America             As an economist, I define class in economic terms. In the past, income and income inequality were usually the main determinants. Now it is a combination of income and wealth (actual and potential) as more Americans grow old and retire.   There are four classes in America:   1) seniors over 65 with assets (wealth) and their inheriting children or relatives. Demographically, the fastest growing class.The number of seniors is expected to double over the next 35 years while the number of all Americans is expected to decre           Total U.S. household net worth reached a record  $166.7 trillion  in the first quarter of 2026, according to the   Federal Reserve's Financial Accounts of the United States . This reflects the total value of all assets (like real estate, equities, and bank deposits) minus all liabilities (like mortgages ...

Government Finance 101. Fiscal Policy: Welcome to Alice in Wonderland

Image
Secretary of the Treasury UPDATE (8/2026) The expected yearly deficit for fiscal year 2026, ending September 30, 2026, is $2.1 trillion. This is higher than the deficit of $1.9 trillion in fiscal year 2025. One reason is that the expected $200 billion increase in government revenue from increased tariffs has to be refunded to importers and American companies because the Supreme Court declared the tariffs unconstitutional. The national debt will be around $40 trillion by the end of this fiscal year. Total interest expense will be around $1.1 trillion, with the interest rate a little under 3%. Thus interest expense is now half of the total yearly deficit. Another way of looking at this is that half of the yearly deficit goes to paying interest on the national debt. Projections are that the national debt will be around $50 trillion in five years (FY 2031). Yearly interest expense might be between $1.5 trillion and $2.0 trillion, which assumes an interest rate of 3% to 4%. Thes...