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FIND POSTS BY CATEGORY The Beginning of the Modern Global Economy:  The Economic Rise of England Before the Industrial Revolution The Beginning of the Industrial Revolution in England and America The theme of the following five sections of the blog is that innovation and information, not price competition, are the main factors for understanding economic growth, competition, market structure and analysis. Basic Concepts and Theory Corporate Strategies And Management Market Behavior and Structure Market Dynamics and Information:  How Markets Work Economic Theory and Markets There is beginning a historic change in future populations and their demographics. This will interact with other variables and have a serious, maybe profound, effect on future economic growth. Demographics, Population Projections and Economics American History American Economic History Politics of the United States The Roman Republic and America - Differences and Some Possible Parallels China India Niger...

Birth Rates and Population Projection Issues

    Demographic Issues   This is a summary of the essays in this blog on demographic projections.    It is not only the arc of population increases and then decreases that is important. It is what happens under the arc. Birth rates fall below replacement, the number of births go down, the size of the prime ages labor force decreases while the number of retired people go up. Eventually, the number of older citizens start to go down and the total population decreases faster and in larger numbers. This scenario is now happening in an increasing number of countries and then will happen for the global population.   The long-run demographic projections and discussion in this blog are based on the Lancet projections of birth rates and population using 2017-2020 data. Forecasts for global trends and for some countries have changed since the Lancet projections. The key projection is birth rates for each country, for geographical regions, and for the entire world. ...