EconAir

There is a story, possibly true, that when the British surrendered to American and French forces at Yorktown, effectively ending British rule of America, someone in the British army sang or played an old English folk song, “The World Turned Upside Down.”    (See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_World_Turned_Upside_Down ) I think I know how the British felt.   Many of the assumptions economists have made about economic reality and economic policies now seem out-of-date or even reversed. UNITED STATES The Fed fought inflation; now it sets inflation targets when there is no inflation. The Fed worries about deflation even though the major source is a fall in energy and commodity prices. Another source is the fall in the prices of technology products. There is a large increase in the money supply, large government deficits, a large trade deficit, and a large decrease in the unemployment rate. Economic theory and past experience says that there should be an increas

Introduction The United States has been the world’s only superpower since the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991.   In some ways it is more difficult to manage foreign policy without concentrating on one big rival. The United States is vastly stronger in military strength than any possible coalition of enemy forces.   But since 9/11 we are feeling less secure despite huge military and domestic security expenditures.   Our military and national security expenditures of around $1.1 trillion are greater than the military expenditures of next ten countries combined (and most are allies).   This is a consequence of a professional military, a result of eliminating conscription after the Vietnam War, and the highly technical (capital intensive) nature of American military forces and strategy.   There is almost no national debate on U.S. military interventions in other countries.   One reason is that most Americans have no direct involvement; they see the professional m