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The Roman Republic Commits Suicide: A Cautionary Tale for America

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Why Study Rome? Americans have focused on comparisons between Rome and America twice in American history.  The first time was during the period from before the Revolution to after the ratification of the Constitution and Bill of Rights, when the founding fathers and others looked to the Roman Republic for ideas and inspiration on how to structure the new government. After the American Revolution, the founding fathers, having read the Roman authors detailing the collapse of the Roman republic, worried about internal threats to the survival of their new republic.   The second time was when the United States became a superpower, especially after WWII, and then again after the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991. Commentators compared America to the Roman Empire at the height of its power. There was some discussion about how America becoming a permanent warfare state would affect democracy and civil society. And now a third time. Have Americans an

Who Do You Fear More, Big Business or Big Government?

OK, who do you fear more, big government or big business?   Historically, Americans saw a relatively small government with regulatory powers as a check on monopoly and big business.  But the rise of big government because of the Great Depression, World War II, the Cold War, and the Great Society changed that.  Americans had a choice.  There was a general consensus that we had to spend a lot of money for national and international security during the Cold War.  But the expansion of the social welfare state and environmental regulations changed attitudes towards the federal government.  The two largest programs of the social welfare state, Social Security and Medicare, have been financed by very large tax increases. These tax increases are somewhat offset by federal income tax cuts.   Since the 1980s, there has been a well-financed campaign to roll back the regulation of big business, especially the finance sector. This campaign has been successful.  Most populi

The Limits of Negotiation: A Little Applied Game Theory

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INTRODUCTION Much of the political news is about negotiations.   American politicians, in both domestic and foreign disputes, don’t seem to know much about negotiation strategy.   Maybe a little applied game theory would help. IS NEGOTIATION POSSIBLE?   The first question is whether or not negotiation is possible or just a waste of time and effort. Negotiations will be fruitless if at least one party believes there are no possible outcomes that are better than not negotiating.   Compromise is impossible.   Fanatics, true believers, proponents of “Victory at any cost” or “Give me victory or give me death” or parties who believe their opponents are evil are not likely to negotiate. Sometimes leaders act to limit their options or those of their followers.   The famous historical example is when Cortes burned his boats that brought him and his men to Mexico.   Returning to Cuba was no longer an option.   Cortes forced his men to make the “credible” commitment to conq