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India and the Future Global Balance of Power

    INTRODUCTION     Geopolitics looks at geography and history as inputs into the relations among nations. A corollary is that countries have “natural” opponents and allies. But how this works out depends on the domestic and foreign policies of the leaders and governments of the countries.   The theme of this essay is the current and possible future the role of India in the evolving global balance of power. One topic is India’s strategic objectives in the Indian Ocean and stronger ties with other Asian countries. Another is the points of rivalry between India and China. They intersect.   INDIA AND THE INDIAN OCEAN: FUTURE STRATEGIC RIVALRY WITH CHINA?    India might become a major regional and possibly global power. India’s strategic interests center on the Indian Ocean. India is developing a “blue-water” navy for the vast Indian Ocean, which stretches 6.000 miles from East Africa to Indonesia. It competes with China’s strategy to have a naval pr...

China's Economy, Politics, and Demography

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  SUMMARY China's dominance of the interconnected group of high-tech products will continue to make China the dominant manufacturing country in the world. China will also dominate the global economy, exporting its high-growth products at falling prices and developing joint production in many countries.  This includes renewable energy. China is the world's largest and lowest-cost producer of most renewable energy technology, especially solar panels and batteries. China is also developing and installing many advanced technology nuclear reactors.   Combined with China's surge in exports to the world outside of the United States, as a reaction to American tariffs and bans on Chinese exports, most of the world's advanced technology will be based on Chinese technology. The only exception might be artificial intelligence. China will have to deal with internal, domestic problems.  The housing crisis continues, wiping out family savings and limiting the growth in domestic con...