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India: Economic Growth, Demographics and Domestic Issues

INTRODUCTION India is emerging as a major economic and geopolitical power. Its successful long-term transformation will depend on whether economic modernization can overcome demographic, political, environmental, and institutional constraints. For decades after independence, economic growth was constrained by socialism, state controls, restrictive laws and regulations, and limited integration into the global economy. Since the liberalization reforms of the 1990s, however, India has increasingly opened up to foreign investment, manufacturing, trade, and technological development. Today, multinational companies and governments are beginning to view India not only as a possible alternative to China for investment, manufacturing, digital infrastructure, and artificial intelligence applications. If current growth trends continue, India could become the world’s third-largest economy within a few years and eventually one of the economic powers of the twenty-first century. Yet India’s rise is ...

Why England Lost the American Revolutionary War

  This was an existential war for the rebellious Americans. If they lost, leaders would be hung, Tories (loyalists) would retaliate, English rule would be harsh and revengeful. On the other hand, England could sail away and still remain a global power. For England to win, it meant destroying the American  Continental Army, disarming the militias, and establish strong political control over a vast territory that was mostly wilderness. But the Americans did not have to win battles to win the war. They just had to continue to exist - keeping the Continental Army together  - until the British decided that the war could not be won and had become too expensive.  Opposition to the war in England was substantial and rose rapidly after 1780. King George’s cabinet was forced to resign and Parliament passed a bill to limit George’s unilateral power to fight wars. Power returned to Parliament; this was the last time an English king or queen exerted any political influence. Engla...

India and the Geopolitics of the Indian Ocean

    INTRODUCTION There are three continental powers - the United States, China, and Russia. India is potentially the fourth, dominating  the  Indian sub-continent and the Indian Ocean.   Geopolitics looks at geography and history as inputs into the relations among nations. A corollary is that countries have “natural” opponents and allies. But how this works out depends on the domestic and foreign policies of the leaders and governments of the countries. The history of long-distance Eurasian trade highlights the crucial role of India and the Indian Ocean. For over 2,500 years, the Indian Ocean was the vital route of trade between Europe and the Mediterranean, the Middle East, and China. India was the transshipment center of this trade. Substantial numbers of Roman gold coins have been found in India. Today, 85% of global trade in goods goes by sea. Over 40% is oil. There are three major "choke-points" in seaborne trade - the Red Sea/Suez Canal, the Persian Gulf/S...