The Agricultural Revolution: A Function of the Industrial Revolution

 


The Agricultural Revolution - settled farming, domestication of animals, irrigation - started about 10,000 years ago. The technology changed little until the beginning of the Industrial Revolution in the 1700s.

Because of the Industrial Revolution, agriculture has been radically transformed. A consequence of the “industrialization” of agriculture has been that farming has changed from subsistence farming (raising food to feed the farming family) to commercial farming (growing crops to sell in markets). Because of the reduction in transportation costs, markets for farm products are now global.

Like other industries, agriculture has gone through waves of absorbing innovation and new technology developed by input suppliers.

Agriculture, especially grain production, has been transformed by 
  • steel plows and implements. 
  • animal-drawn harvesters and combines. 
  • tractors and other mechanized equipment.
  • chemical fertilizers.
  • pesticides.
  • herbicides.
  • irrigation systems.
  • hybrid and genetically-modified seeds.
  • production planning information systems.

Many suppliers became large corporations, including Ford (tractors), John Deere, International Harvester, Caterpillar, and Bayer (owns Monsanto). Modern equipment manufacturers are currently incorporating sensors, robotics, GPS-based production planning, and artificial intelligence into their products and software. Driverless tractors, combined with automated computer-controlled planting, growing, and harvesting systems are being developed. AI platforms are already being used.

Farmers have combined many of these inputs to realize economies of scale. The result of all this innovation, plus better-educated farmers, has been dramatic increases in productivity – output per acre and output per farmer – and reduction in real unit costs. Owners of larger farms also tend to specialize. Also gigantic feedlots. 

Organic farmers use fewer inputs (no chemical fertilizers, no herbicides, no pesticides) so should have lower costs. But yields (output per acre) are so much lower that the unit cost is higher. On the other hand, organic farming avoids some of the "social costs" or "negative externalities" of modern farming (see below for a list of negative externalities).

Even if some agriculture continues to retain some aspects of perfect competition (global spot price markets), they rely on large suppliers of inputs to provide them with waves of innovation to reduce unit costs and increase productivity. They sell to large food processing companies that rely on new product development, branding, marketing, price discrimination, and economies of scale to increase sales and profits.

Agriculture, the dominant economic activity before the Industrial Revolution, has been radically transformed by the technological innovations of the Industrial Revolution. Before the Industrial Revolution, about 90% of the labor force were farmers or farm workers. In the United States, about 2% of the labor force is directly in farming. About 6 million farmers and agricultural workers produce enough food to feed 335 million Americans and contribute over $140 billion of exports. It is extraordinary that the world's farmers can produce enough food to feed eight billion people. And one billion cows.

For better or worse, agriculture has become energy-intensive. Not only to drive the machinery but also to produce nitrogen fertilizer and other chemicals.

In all wealthy countries, farmers are heavily subsidized with government payments and assistance. Agriculture subsidies are the largest category in the European Union budget.

But large parts of the world, particularly sub-Saharan Africa, are facing a future of increasing population, subsidence and low-yield farming, and expansion onto marginal land. In some countries, the average-sized farm is getting smaller (example - Burundi).

In many parts of the world, but especially in tropical zones, global warming is negatively impacting food production. A possible new example is that global warming may be interfering with the normal seasonal patterns of monsoon rains.  

"Social Costs" or "Negative Externalities" of Agriculture

The following is an AI Overview from Google's Gemini, with my added comments.

Negative externalities in agriculture are the unintended, harmful side effect effects of farming that are passed onto third parties or society and are not reflected in market prices. [1, 2, 3, 4]
Major Negative Externalities
  • Water Pollution: Excess nitrogen and phosphorus from inorganic fertilizers and animal manure leach into groundwater or run off into rivers and lakes. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5] Many countries, including the United States, have programs to minimize this problem.
  • Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Livestock, especially cows, release methane, a more dangerous greenhouse gas than carbon. [1]
  • Biodiversity Loss: Intensive monoculture farming, excessive land clearing, and pesticide use destroy natural habitats and kill beneficial pollinators or predators. [1, 2, 3]
  • Public Health Risks: Pesticide exposure harms farmworker and nearby resident health. [1, 2] Many pesticides and herbicides have been banned. 
  • Soil Degradation: Over-tilling and continuous monocropping deplete topsoil and reduce long-term land fertility. [1, 2] To fight this, many American farmers do not till the soil and use less herbicides.
Extensive, inefficient use of water in a period of global warming. Rapid reduction of aquifers.

In the past, famine and starvation were real and constant threats. Now, in wealthy countries, the major threat from eating seems to be obesity.
 

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